Sport Picks
Deportiva Venados vs Calor De San Pedro
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 
Match Events
60'
60'
69'
69'
88'
88'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Deportiva Venados advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportiva Venados
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportiva Venados carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Deportiva Venados's way, sitting at 90%.
- Deportiva Venados have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Deportiva Venados, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 68%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportiva Venados | Calor De San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.23 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Calor De San Pedro
2:1
Apr 16, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Deportiva Venados
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportiva Venados 95 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportiva Venados Calor De San Pedro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportiva Venados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportiva Venados scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Calor De San Pedro conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Deportiva Venados stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportiva Venados VS Calor De San Pedro
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportiva Venados
(Home) 26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3 Celaya
19 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
3 : 3 Deportiva Venados
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0 Jaguares De Chiapas
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1 Deportiva Venados
10 May
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 0 Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3 Celaya
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0 Jaguares De Chiapas
06 May
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
30 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1 Apodaca
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0 Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 3
Calor De San Pedro
(Away) 27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0 Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
18 Apr
Deportiva Venados
2 : 1 Calor De San Pedro
29 Mar
Apodaca
1 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Racing de Veracruz -
TBD -
Tigres de Alica 2
Halcones de Zapopan 3
Alacranes de Durango -
TBD -
FC Santiago 3
Zacatepec 4
Deportiva Venados 3
Calor De San Pedro 1
Tapachula 1
Tritones Vallarta 2
Apodaca -
TBD -
Tecos 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen 2
Quarter-finals
Racing de Veracruz 0
Halcones de Zapopan 2
Alacranes de Durango 3
Zacatepec 3
Deportiva Venados 2
Tritones Vallarta 1
Apodaca 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen 1
Semi-finals
Halcones de Zapopan 1
Alacranes de Durango 2
Deportiva Venados 5
Apodaca 3
Final
Alacranes de Durango 1
Deportiva Venados 2
