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Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Albizures C.
30' Event
Manon V.
44' Event
Aguilar K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Deportivo Achuapa and Iztapa finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Achuapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Deportivo Achuapa
20%
Draws
40%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Achuapa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Achuapa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 20%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Achuapa Iztapa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.91 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
5:3
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:0
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:1
Aug 14, 2022 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
1:1
May 4, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Manon V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguilar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Albizures C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Achuapa 67 / 100
Iztapa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Achuapa Iztapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Achuapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iztapa conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Achuapa's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Away concern: Iztapa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Achuapa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Achuapa

(Home)
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2
Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0
Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 7

Iztapa

(Away)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)