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Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Achuapa play Iztapa in the Liga Nacional 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Achuapa averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Iztapa averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Achuapa won 1, Iztapa won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2023 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Deportivo Achuapa and 0.75 for Iztapa. This points to a Iztapa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Deportivo Achuapa
23%
Draws
39%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Iztapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Achuapa picked up more points recently compared to Iztapa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 27%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Achuapa Iztapa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.91 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
5:3
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:0
Oct 23, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
4:1
Aug 14, 2022 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Iztapa
1:1
May 4, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Deportivo Achuapa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Manon V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguilar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Albizures C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Achuapa 40 / 100
Iztapa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Achuapa Iztapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iztapa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Achuapa attacking → ← attacking Iztapa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Achuapa scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Iztapa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Deportivo Achuapa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Iztapa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 28
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019