Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Achuapa vs Xinabajul

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Winston Pineda, Jutiapa
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Vasquez E.
30'
Corado J.
44'
Yori E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportivo Achuapa
35%
Draws
28%
Xinabajul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Achuapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Xinabajul haven't matched Deportivo Achuapa's recent run of results.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Deportivo Achuapa Clean Sheet 27%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Achuapa Xinabajul
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Xinabajul
1:1
Jan 31, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Deportivo Achuapa
2:1
Sep 23, 2024 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Xinabajul
1:1
Mar 27, 2024 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Achuapa vs Xinabajul
2:0
Nov 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Deportivo Achuapa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Achuapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Elington E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Achuapa 38 / 100
Xinabajul 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Achuapa Xinabajul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xinabajul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Achuapa scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Xinabajul conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Achuapa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Achuapa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Achuapa

(Home)
26 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
2 : 2
Antigua
19 Apr
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
17 Apr
Xelaju
3 : 0
Deportivo Achuapa
12 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Malacateco
07 Apr
Guastatoya
3 : 1
Deportivo Achuapa
Page 1 of 7

Xinabajul

(Away)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)