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Deportivo Aleman vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Deportivo Aleman Logo

Deportivo Aleman

0 - 3
FT
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Logo

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Deportivo Aleman
30%
Draws
51%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Deportivo Aleman Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Aleman Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.53 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Deportivo Aleman
4:0
Nov 5, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
0:3
Oct 15, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Aleman vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1:1
Aug 27, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Deportivo Aleman
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Aleman 10 / 100
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Aleman Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Deportivo Aleman's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

Deportivo Aleman went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Aleman VS Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 Goals Scored 2.75
5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Aleman

(Home)
03 Nov
Oruro Royal
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
06 Oct
Deportivo Aleman
0 : 3
Oruro Royal
22 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
15 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 0
Alianza Beni
08 Sept
Deportivo Aleman
1 : 1
Moto Club
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Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

(Away)
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
CD Guadalajara
2 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic 2
Real Mizque 3
Universitario de Pando 1
GV San Jose 5
Universitario Beni 3
24 de Septiembre 4
Pasion Celeste 2
Torre Fuerte 5
Real Oruro 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Nacional Sucre 1
Municipal de Tarija 5
Atletico Bermejo 2
Real Potosi 3
Deportivo Aleman 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque 2
GV San Jose 8
24 de Septiembre 2
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3
Municipal de Tarija 2
Real Potosi 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose 9
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4
Final
GV San Jose 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1