Sport Picks
Deportivo Capiata vs Independiente FBC
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 2025 
Match Events
24'
24'
Rivarola V.
32'
32'
Delgado C.
42'
42'
Arce F.
AI Match Summary
Independiente FBC in this Division Intermedia 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente FBC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Capiata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Deportivo Capiata have won more games recently than Independiente FBC.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Capiata taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Capiata | Independiente FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Independiente FBC
2:2
Sep 29, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Independiente FBC
1:2
Jun 23, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiata
1:2
Jul 15, 2021 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Capiata
1:1
Apr 12, 2021 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Independiente FBC
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Capiata Compare
Top Goalscorer Delgado C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Independiente FBC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivarola V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dietze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Capiata 59 / 100
Independiente FBC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Capiata Independiente FBC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CDC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Capiata's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Independiente FBC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Deportivo Capiata went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Capiata VS Independiente FBC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Capiata
(Home) 13 Jul
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 3 Atletico Tembetary
06 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
06 Jun
12 de Junio
1 : 1 Deportivo Capiata
31 May
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 3 Atletico Tembetary
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
31 May
Deportivo Capiata
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
19 May
Deportivo Capiata
2 : 1 Fernando de la Mora
10 May
Deportivo Capiata
2 : 1 General Caballero JLM
Page 1 of 4
Independiente FBC
(Away) 18 Jul
Paraguari AC
3 : 2 Independiente FBC
13 Jul
Independiente FBC
2 : 2 Tacuary
07 Jul
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 2 Independiente FBC
30 Jun
Independiente FBC
1 : 2 Benjamin Aceval
06 Jun
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Paraguari AC
3 : 2 Independiente FBC
07 Jul
Atletico Tembetary
2 : 2 Independiente FBC
06 Jun
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2 Independiente FBC
23 May
Encarnacion FC
2 : 3 Independiente FBC
14 May
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 1 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 60 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Deportivo Capiata | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 37:21 | 52 |
| 4 | 12 de Junio | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36:26 | 48 |
| 5 | Pastoreo | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 6 | Resistencia | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 46:50 | 40 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 39 |
| 8 | Sol de America | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 34:35 | 38 |
| 9 | Tacuary | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | 38 |
| 10 | Club River Plate | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 35:39 | 37 |
| 11 | Deportivo Santani | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Encarnacion FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 33:42 | 35 |
| 13 | Sportivo Carapegua | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 39:46 | 34 |
| 14 | Independiente FBC | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:40 | 34 |
| 15 | Fernando de la Mora | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 24:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Guarani de Fram | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 35:49 | 26 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)