Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

Match Events

37'

Areosa H.

41'

Rodrigues D.

76'

Mane A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Fabril host Atletico Astorga in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Deportivo Fabril have averaged 2.38 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Atletico Astorga's 1.75 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Deportivo Fabril have won 2 to Atletico Astorga's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.25, favoring Deportivo Fabril. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Deportivo Fabril

Draws

Atletico Astorga

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Deportivo Fabril has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico Astorga.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Deportivo Fabril.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Fabril	Atletico Astorga
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	16	13
Draws	9	9
Losses	5	11
Goals Scored	2.38	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Deportivo Fabril vs Atletico Astorga

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Oct 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Atletico Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Fabril Compare

Top Goalscorer Areosa H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rodrigues D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Atletico Astorga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Fabril 95 / 100

Atletico Astorga 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Fabril Atletico Astorga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Fabril scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Astorga let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Deportivo Fabril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Astorga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Fabril VS Atletico Astorga

2.38 Goals Scored 1.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15