Sport Picks
Deportivo Fabril vs Atletico Astorga
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
37'
37'
Areosa H.
41'
41'
Dipanda R.
76'
76'
Mane A.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Fabril in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Fabril.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Fabril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportivo Fabril have won more games recently than Atletico Astorga.
- Model gives Deportivo Fabril a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Deportivo Fabril have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Fabril | Atletico Astorga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Atletico Astorga
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Deportivo Fabril
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Fabril Compare
Top Goalscorer Areosa H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dipanda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Atletico Astorga Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Fabril 68 / 100
Atletico Astorga 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Fabril Atletico Astorga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.
Deportivo Fabril scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Atletico Astorga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Deportivo Fabril remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Fabril VS Atletico Astorga
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Fabril
(Home) 26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0 Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1 Cacereno
29 Aug
AD Merida
1 : 0 Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0 Real Union
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1 Cacereno
05 Aug
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1 Real Madrid B
26 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Astorga
(Away) 26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
03 May
UD Ourense
1 : 1 Atletico Astorga
12 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
