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Deportivo Fabril vs Cacereno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo, La Coruña
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Conesa N.
16' Event
Tellechea I.
Assist: Navarro S.
19'
Sub
Serrano M. In: Fons F.
Out: Serrano M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Deportivo Fabril and Cacereno finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportivo Fabril
30%
Draws
33%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Fabril come out ahead of Cacereno on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 68%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Fabril Cacereno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Cacereno
1:1
May 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Cacereno
2:0
May 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Deportivo Fabril
0:0
Apr 9, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Cacereno
1:2
Nov 21, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Deportivo Fabril
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Fabril Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Tellechea I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Fabril 41 / 100
Cacereno 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Fabril Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Fabril's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cacereno let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Deportivo Fabril has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Fabril VS Cacereno
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Fabril

(Home)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
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Cacereno

(Away)
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0
Cacereno
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)