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Deportivo Fabril vs Cerceda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Deportivo Fabril and Cerceda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Fabril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Deportivo Fabril
35%
Draws
13%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Fabril come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Fabril taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Fabril Cerceda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 1
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.65 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Cerceda
1:0
Dec 10, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Deportivo Fabril
2:3
Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Cerceda
2:0
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Deportivo Fabril
1:1
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Cerceda
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Fabril 85 / 100
Cerceda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Fabril Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Fabril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Fabril scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Fabril stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Fabril VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Fabril

(Home)
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
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Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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