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Deportivo Fabril vs Valladolid Promesas

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Ivorra I.

AI Match Summary

Valladolid Promesas in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valladolid Promesas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Deportivo Fabril
11%
Draws
9%
Valladolid Promesas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Fabril lately — more wins on the board than Valladolid Promesas.
  • Deportivo Fabril are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 20%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Fabril Valladolid Promesas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Valladolid Promesas
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Deportivo Fabril
0:4
Jan 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Valladolid Promesas
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Deportivo Fabril
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs Deportivo Fabril
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Fabril Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Valladolid Promesas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivorra I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Fabril 76 / 100
Valladolid Promesas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Fabril Valladolid Promesas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valladolid Promesas has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Deportivo Fabril scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deportivo Fabril remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Fabril VS Valladolid Promesas
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715