Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
29'
29'
Da Silva B.
42'
42'
Hohberg A.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Nunez C. In: Amondarain M.
Out: Nunez C.
AI Match Summary
Cienciano in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cienciano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Cienciano have won more games recently than Deportivo Garcilaso.
- Win probability leans Deportivo Garcilaso's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano
2:3
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Cienciano Compare
Top Goalscorer Bandiera N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Succar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Garcilaso 95 / 100
Cienciano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Garcilaso Cienciano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cienciano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Cienciano lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Garcilaso VS Cienciano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home) 27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
12 Jul
Moquegua
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Binacional
21 Jun
Cienciano
2 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
29 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Binacional
14 Jun
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 0 Cusco
30 May
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Juan Pablo II
17 May
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
Cienciano
(Away) 25 Jul
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0 Cienciano
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0 Cienciano
18 Jul
Cienciano
1 : 3 FBC Melgar
10 Jul
Cienciano
2 : 3 AD Tarma
28 Jun
Cusco
1 : 2 Cienciano
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Juan Pablo II
2 : 0 Cienciano
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0 Cienciano
28 Jun
Cusco
1 : 2 Cienciano
13 Jun
Binacional
0 : 2 Cienciano
24 May
Sport Huancayo
2 : 2 Cienciano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
