Sport Picks
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Moquegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 
Match Events
26'
26'
Da Silva B.
Assist: Arancibia F.
29'
29'
Zapata Y.
60'
60'
Sub
Davila A. In: Lecaros A.
Out: Davila A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Deportivo Garcilaso and Moquegua finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Deportivo Garcilaso carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Garcilaso taking it.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Moquegua here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Garcilaso | Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Moquegua
2:0
Jul 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Liga 1
Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Garcilaso Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Silva B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arancibia F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Moquegua Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Garcilaso 95 / 100
Moquegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Garcilaso Moquegua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moquegua's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Moquegua let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.
Solid form: Deportivo Garcilaso remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Garcilaso VS Moquegua
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Home) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
Moquegua
(Away) 08 Oct
Moquegua
0 : 2 Cienciano
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0 Moquegua
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0 Moquegua
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
22 Aug
Sport Huancayo
0 : 2 Moquegua
09 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
