Sport Picks

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Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Gonzalez J.
27' Event
Canete J.
45'
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Deportivo La Guaira
44%
Draws
20%
Portuguesa
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo La Guaira lately — more wins on the board than Portuguesa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 19%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Portuguesa
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 14 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:2
May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
1:1
Apr 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
3:1
Jun 9, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Canete J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 36 / 100
Portuguesa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Portuguesa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo La Guaira found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Portuguesa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Deportivo La Guaira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Portuguesa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia Puerto Cabello63128:710
2Portuguesa62227:88
3Deportivo La Guaira61415:57
4Universidad Central61328:86
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carabobo632110:511
2Dep. Tachira63218:511
3Metropolitanos62225:78
4Estudiantes Merida61052:83