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Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ponce A.
Assist: Rosales R.
29'
Sub
Saggiomo D. In: Lima P.
Out: Saggiomo D.
45'
Arace R.

AI Match Summary

Academia Puerto Cabello in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academia Puerto Cabello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deportivo La Guaira
39%
Draws
30%
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Academia Puerto Cabello have won more games recently than Deportivo La Guaira.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 17%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Academia Puerto Cabello
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 14
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:2
May 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1
Mar 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:0
Jan 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponce A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 31 / 100
Academia Puerto Cabello 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Academia Puerto Cabello

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo La Guaira's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Academia Puerto Cabello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Deportivo La Guaira stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Academia Puerto Cabello
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia Puerto Cabello63128:710
2Portuguesa62227:88
3Deportivo La Guaira61415:57
4Universidad Central61328:86
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carabobo632110:511
2Dep. Tachira63218:511
3Metropolitanos62225:78
4Estudiantes Merida61052:83