Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolivar

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Meza J.
Assist: Gutierrez J.
45'
Justiniano L.
46'
Sub
Gariglio I. In: Echeverria S.
Out: Gariglio I.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Libertadores game between Deportivo La Guaira and Bolivar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Deportivo La Guaira
20%
Draws
38%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo La Guaira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolivar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportivo La Guaira.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Deportivo La Guaira.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Libertadores provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 13%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Bolivar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolivar
1:1
Apr 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Bolivar vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Meza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Justiniano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 40 / 100
Bolivar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Bolivar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo La Guaira scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bolivar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Deportivo La Guaira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bolivar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Bolivar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130