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Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2025 Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Meza J.
31'
Ibarra R.
39' Event
Ramirez C.
Assist: Villalobos J.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo La Guaira in this Liga FUTVE 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Deportivo La Guaira
17%
Draws
70%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Monagas haven't matched Deportivo La Guaira's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Monagas a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo La Guaira have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 20%
Monagas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Monagas
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 10 5
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Jul 7, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 16 / 100
Monagas 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Monagas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Deportivo La Guaira found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Deportivo La Guaira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Monagas
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia Puerto Cabello541011:413
2Deportivo La Guaira62225:78
3Zamora52125:57
4Monagas61055:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carabobo642010:214
2Caracas62317:79
3Dep. Tachira61327:76
4Metropolitanos60244:122