Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Martinez L.
29'
Peralta R.
40' Event
Londono F.
Assist: Martinez L.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo La Guaira in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Deportivo La Guaira
17%
Draws
70%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Monagas haven't matched Deportivo La Guaira's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Monagas a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo La Guaira have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 24%
Monagas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo La Guaira Monagas
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 11 5
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Jul 7, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Monagas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo La Guaira 17 / 100
Monagas 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo La Guaira Monagas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Deportivo La Guaira found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Deportivo La Guaira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo La Guaira VS Monagas
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264