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Stadium Background

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atletico Guemes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Maipu host Club Atletico Guemes in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Club Atletico Guemes have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Deportivo Maipu have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Club Atletico Guemes slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.50) back Deportivo Maipu to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Deportivo Maipu
20%
Draws
22%
Club Atletico Guemes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Maipu have won more games recently than Club Atletico Guemes.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Maipu's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Club Atletico Guemes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
4:0
Apr 22, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 77 / 100
Club Atletico Guemes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Club Atletico Guemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maipu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Deportivo Maipu found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Maipu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Club Atletico Guemes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
17 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
11 Oct
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
San Martin S.J.
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
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Club Atletico Guemes

(Away)
18 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
2 : 1
Almagro
11 Oct
Patronato
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)