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Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu
Deportivo Maipu Logo

Deportivo Maipu

1 - 0
FT
Quilmes Logo

Quilmes

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kippes A.
42'
Romeo L.
44'
Martinez R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Maipu in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Maipu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportivo Maipu
35%
Draws
28%
Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Maipu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Maipu lately — more wins on the board than Quilmes.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Maipu taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maipu Quilmes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.18 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Quilmes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maipu 50 / 100
Quilmes 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maipu Quilmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maipu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Deportivo Maipu remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Maipu scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Quilmes conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maipu VS Quilmes
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Maipu

(Home)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

Quilmes

(Away)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)