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Deportivo Maritimo vs Real Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Rivas D.
42' Event
Rivas D.
82' Event
Garres A.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Maritimo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Deportivo Maritimo
20%
Draws
38%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Maritimo haven't matched Real Murcia B's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Maritimo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 20%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Maritimo Real Murcia B
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Real Murcia B
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Deportivo Maritimo
2:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Real Murcia B
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Deportivo Maritimo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Garres A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Maritimo 42 / 100
Real Murcia B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Maritimo Real Murcia B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Maritimo scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Real Murcia B has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Deportivo Maritimo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Maritimo VS Real Murcia B
1.29 Goals Scored 1
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427