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Deportivo Metalurgico vs Social Atletico Television

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Luca E.
85' Event
Chaves L.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur 2024 game between Deportivo Metalurgico and Social Atletico Television finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Deportivo Metalurgico
30%
Draws
19%
Social Atletico Television
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Metalurgico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Metalurgico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Metalurgico are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 19%
Social Atletico Television Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Metalurgico Social Atletico Television
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:4
Jul 4, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Social Atletico Television
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Social Atletico Television
1:1
May 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Deportivo Metalurgico
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Metalurgico Compare

Top Goalscorer Luca E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Social Atletico Television Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaves L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Metalurgico 85 / 100
Social Atletico Television 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Metalurgico Social Atletico Television

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Metalurgico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Metalurgico's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Deportivo Metalurgico went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Social Atletico Television has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Metalurgico VS Social Atletico Television
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Metalurgico

(Home)
29 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 1
Social Atletico Television
18 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Ezeiza
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
2 : 2
Atletico Pilar
29 Aug
Social Atletico Television
1 : 4
Deportivo Metalurgico
Page 1 of 6

Social Atletico Television

(Away)
29 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 1
Social Atletico Television
19 Sept
Social Atletico Television
0 : 1
Barrancas
12 Sept
Barrancas
2 : 0
Social Atletico Television
07 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 3
Social Atletico Television
29 Aug
Social Atletico Television
1 : 4
Deportivo Metalurgico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrella Del Sur 13 10 3 0 20:7 33
2 Deportivo Camioneros 13 7 5 1 24:11 26
3 Nautico Hacoaj 13 6 4 3 17:11 22
4 Social Atletico Television 13 6 4 3 15:9 22
5 Ezeiza 13 6 2 5 13:11 20
6 Provincial 13 5 4 4 20:15 19
7 Estrella de Berisso 13 4 6 3 13:11 18
8 Deportivo Metalurgico 13 4 5 4 16:14 17
9 Everton La Plata 13 4 4 5 12:19 16
10 Defensores de Glew 13 3 6 4 17:16 15
11 Barrancas 13 3 4 6 7:13 13
12 Atletico Pilar 13 2 2 9 15:26 8
13 Belgrano Zarate 13 1 5 7 7:20 8
14 Juventud de Bernal 13 1 4 8 9:22 7
Promotion - Primera C 2025 (Main)