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Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Soriano B.
46'
Sub
Reyes E. In: Quinones E.
Out: Reyes E.
50' Event
Martinez N.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Deportivo Mixco
40%
Draws
29%
Aurora F.C.
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco have won more games recently than Aurora F.C..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 20%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Aurora F.C.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.
4:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo Mixco
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo Mixco
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aurora F.C. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 32 / 100
Aurora F.C. 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Aurora F.C.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Mixco scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Aurora F.C. let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Aurora F.C. lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Aurora F.C.
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219