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Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C. Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Pozuelos Y.
24' Event
Garcia L.
24'
Garcia L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Deportivo Mixco and Aurora F.C. finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Deportivo Mixco
15%
Draws
21%
Aurora F.C.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Mixco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aurora F.C. haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Mixco taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 14%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Aurora F.C.
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.54 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.
4:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo Mixco
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo Mixco
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Aurora F.C.
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozuelos Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Echeverria Perez A. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 39 / 100
Aurora F.C. 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Aurora F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Mixco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Mixco scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Aurora F.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Deportivo Mixco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Aurora F.C.
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
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Aurora F.C.

(Away)
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
9 Aurora F.C. 11 4 0 7 16:19 12
10 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
11 Comunicaciones 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)