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Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Pozuelos Y.
45'
Zuniga E.
45'
Linton O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Mixco and Marquense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Deportivo Mixco
15%
Draws
45%
Marquense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Marquense haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Mixco taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Mixco have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 18%
Marquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Marquense
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Elington E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 36 / 100
Marquense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Marquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Marquense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Deportivo Mixco has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Marquense
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Marquense

(Away)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)