Sport Picks

Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán

Deportivo Mixco

2 - 1

Marquense

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Pozuelos Y.

45'

Zuniga E.

45'

Linton O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Deportivo Mixco and Marquense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Deportivo Mixco

40%

Draws

29%

Marquense

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Marquense haven't matched Deportivo Mixco's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 20%

Marquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Mixco	Marquense
Matches Played	32	34
Wins	13	12
Draws	7	7
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.63	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Liga Nacional

Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Feb 20, 2026 Liga Nacional

Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 16, 2025 Liga Nacional

Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco

Possession: 40% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Sep 12, 2025 Liga Nacional

Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Mar 10, 2025 Liga Nacional

Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez N.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Elington E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 32 / 100

Marquense 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Mixco Marquense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Marquense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Marquense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Marquense

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Xelaju	22	11	6	5	34:19	39
2	Municipal	22	11	5	6	32:21	38
3	Deportivo Mixco	22	10	6	6	30:26	36
4	Comunicaciones	22	11	2	9	28:26	35
5	Antigua	22	9	7	6	34:29	34
6	Coban Imperial	22	8	8	6	29:22	32
7	Guastatoya	22	8	7	7	29:21	31
8	Marquense	22	9	3	10	25:29	30
9	Mictlan	22	7	6	9	25:36	27
10	Malacateco	22	6	4	12	19:25	22
11	Aurora F.C.	22	4	8	10	14:30	20
12	Deportivo Achuapa	22	5	4	13	17:32	19