Sport Picks

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Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santo Domingo de Guzmán, Mixco
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gordillo G.
16'
Garcia L.
24'
Yanes A.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Mixco in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Mixco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Deportivo Mixco
15%
Draws
46%
Marquense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco have won more games recently than Marquense.
  • Deportivo Mixco are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Deportivo Mixco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 68%
Marquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Mixco Marquense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Sotomayor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Marquense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Mixco 68 / 100
Marquense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Mixco Marquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Mixco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Mixco found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Marquense has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deportivo Mixco remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Mixco VS Marquense
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Mixco

(Home)
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
31 Aug
Xelaju
4 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 6

Marquense

(Away)
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Antigua 9 7 0 2 19:12 21
3 Guastatoya 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
4 Deportivo San Pedro 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
5 Xelaju 10 4 3 3 20:11 15
6 Deportivo Mixco 10 5 0 5 16:16 15
7 Marquense 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
8 Aurora F.C. 10 4 0 6 14:16 12
9 Malacateco 10 3 3 4 12:16 12
10 Comunicaciones 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
11 Coban Imperial 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)