Sport Picks
Deportivo Moron vs Almagro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron 
Match Events
8'
8'
Iniguez E.
Assist: Livera J.
17'
17'
Levato M.
Assist: Fagundez F.
18'
18'
Cortave M.
AI Match Summary
Deportivo Moron in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Moron.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Moron
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportivo Moron have won more games recently than Almagro.
- Deportivo Moron are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almagro
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Deportivo Moron
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almagro
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Deportivo Moron
2:1
Jun 10, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Deportivo Moron
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Moron Compare
Top Goalscorer Iniguez E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Levato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Almagro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Moron 68 / 100
Almagro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Moron Almagro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Moron Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deportivo Moron found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Almagro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Deportivo Moron went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Moron VS Almagro
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Moron
(Home) 03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1 Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2 Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 All Boys
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2 Godoy Cruz
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
15 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0 Almagro
09 Aug
Deportivo Moron
4 : 1 Acassuso
Page 1 of 3
Almagro
(Away) 04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2 Almagro
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1 Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2 Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2 Almagro
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Almagro
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
15 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0 Almagro
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36:27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:32 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:21 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27:28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 30:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 13 | Racing Cordoba | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 29:39 | 37 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18:28 | 33 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25:38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22:35 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32:15 | 58 |
| 2 | Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38:26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 38:30 | 55 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48:40 | 54 |
| 5 | Midland | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 32:28 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:31 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 32:31 | 46 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35:32 | 43 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 27:30 | 42 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 13 | Almagro | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 28:38 | 38 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:35 | 37 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 23:30 | 36 |
| 16 | Patronato | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 27:32 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 24:33 | 33 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 23:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
