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Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron
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Match Events

21'
Brunet N.
30' Event
Pino M.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Lazza E.
Assist: Iniguez E.

AI Match Summary

Godoy Cruz in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Godoy Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Deportivo Moron
15%
Draws
50%
Godoy Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Godoy Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Moron average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Godoy Cruz's 1.31.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 18%
Godoy Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Moron Godoy Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz
1:2
May 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Moron
2:2
Feb 26, 2026 Copa Argentina
Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Moron
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Moron Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazza E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Godoy Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil Romero G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Moron 36 / 100
Godoy Cruz 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Moron Godoy Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Godoy Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Godoy Cruz has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Moron went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Moron VS Godoy Cruz
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Moron

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

Godoy Cruz

(Away)
27 Sept
Racing Cordoba
2 : 2
Godoy Cruz
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)