Sport Picks
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron 
Match Events
18'
18'
Pollacchi L.
32'
32'
Sub
Paredes G. In: Diaz E.
Out: Paredes G.
45'
45'
Uriburu R.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Deportivo Moron and San Telmo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Moron.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Moron
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportivo Moron carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Deportivo Moron a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Moron | San Telmo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron
2:2
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs San Telmo
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Moron 68 / 100
San Telmo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Moron San Telmo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Moron Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Deportivo Moron stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Deportivo Moron's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Telmo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Moron VS San Telmo
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Moron
(Home) 13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 San Miguel
15 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0 Almagro
09 Aug
Deportivo Moron
4 : 1 Acassuso
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0 Ferro
11 Jul
Deportivo Moron
2 : 2 Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 3
San Telmo
(Away) 12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1 San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0 Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0 San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2 San Telmo
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2 Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1 San Telmo
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0 San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2 San Telmo
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0 San Telmo
09 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0 San Telmo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 47:27 | 55 |
| 2 | Ferro | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 34:25 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 36:25 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42:28 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 23:16 | 46 |
| 6 | Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 35:25 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 26:25 | 39 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 24:26 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 22:17 | 37 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 26:34 | 35 |
| 11 | Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 26:29 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 22:26 | 33 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | 27:35 | 32 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 19:27 | 31 |
| 15 | All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 16:25 | 31 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 23:33 | 31 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19:34 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 53 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:35 | 52 |
| 3 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36:30 | 40 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:28 | 40 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30:26 | 39 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21:24 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25:33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 25:34 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21:28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19:31 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23:49 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
