Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2014

Deportivo Municipal

1 - 4

Univ. Cotopaxi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Univ. Cotopaxi in this Serie B 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Univ. Cotopaxi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Deportivo Municipal

Draws

90%

Univ. Cotopaxi

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Univ. Cotopaxi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Univ. Cotopaxi lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Municipal.
Univ. Cotopaxi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Serie B 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Deportivo Municipal Clean Sheet 13%

Univ. Cotopaxi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportivo Municipal	Univ. Cotopaxi
Matches Played	33	33
Wins	4	12
Draws	9	6
Losses	20	15
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2014 Serie B

Deportivo Municipal vs Univ. Cotopaxi

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:4

Aug 10, 2014 Serie B

Univ. Cotopaxi vs Deportivo Municipal

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

May 24, 2014 Serie B

Deportivo Municipal vs Univ. Cotopaxi

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Apr 20, 2014 Serie B

Univ. Cotopaxi vs Deportivo Municipal

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Nov 8, 2013 Serie B

Univ. Cotopaxi vs Deportivo Municipal

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Municipal 10 / 100

Univ. Cotopaxi 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportivo Municipal Univ. Cotopaxi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univ. Cotopaxi has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Municipal found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Univ. Cotopaxi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Municipal VS Univ. Cotopaxi

1.13 Goals Scored 1.13

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aucas	44	24	11	9	64:33	83
2	Guayaquil City	44	22	12	10	62:45	78
3	Tecnico U.	44	23	8	13	70:42	77
4	LDU Portoviejo	44	22	9	13	67:48	75
5	Macara	44	17	11	16	49:41	62
6	Deportivo Quevedo	44	16	11	17	52:62	59
7	Dep. Azogues	44	13	17	14	46:47	56
8	Delfin	44	15	10	19	43:49	55
9	Espoli	44	12	15	17	50:56	50
10	Imbabura	44	12	12	20	40:58	48
11	Univ. Cotopaxi	44	13	9	22	57:77	48
12	Deportivo Municipal	44	7	11	26	41:83	32