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Deportivo Nacional vs Brazil Juniors

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor 2018/2019 game between Deportivo Nacional and Brazil Juniors finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Deportivo Nacional
15%
Draws
27%
Brazil Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Nacional are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo Nacional have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 16%
Brazil Juniors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Nacional Brazil Juniors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 0 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 3 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2019 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Brazil Juniors
10:0
Feb 17, 2019 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Brazil Juniors
3:0
Nov 4, 2018 Division di Honor
Brazil Juniors vs Deportivo Nacional
2:3
Feb 20, 2015 Division di Honor
Brazil Juniors vs Deportivo Nacional
1:2
Oct 14, 2014 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Brazil Juniors
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Nacional 84 / 100
Brazil Juniors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Nacional Brazil Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Nacional found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Brazil Juniors has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Nacional stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Nacional VS Brazil Juniors
6.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Nacional

(Home)
13 Jun
Deportivo Nacional
2 : 1
Caiquetio
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
17 May
Deportivo Nacional
4 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

Brazil Juniors

(Away)
31 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 4
River Plate
25 May
Caiquetio
1 : 0
Brazil Juniors
19 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 1
Unistars
13 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 2
Estrella
05 May
Jong Aruba
1 : 3
Brazil Juniors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Dakota 18 14 1 3 51:16 43
2 Deportivo Nacional 18 13 1 4 40:24 40
3 Racing Club Aruba 18 12 2 4 44:19 38
4 Estrella 18 8 6 4 34:30 30
5 Britannia 18 8 1 9 41:37 25
6 Bubali 18 8 1 9 39:37 25
7 Brazil Juniors 18 5 2 11 24:33 17
8 La Fama 18 4 4 10 19:39 16
9 Caiquetio 18 3 5 10 21:49 14
10 River Plate 18 1 5 12 23:52 8
Promotion - Division di Honor 2018/2019 (Winners stage)