Sport Picks

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Deportivo Nacional vs Real Rincon

North & Central America North & Central America

Caribbean Club Shield 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Rincon in this Caribbean Club Shield 2018 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Deportivo Nacional
6%
Draws
4%
Real Rincon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Real Rincon.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Nacional's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Deportivo Nacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Rincon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Real Rincon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Nacional Real Rincon
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 17 2
Draws 0 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 CFU Club Shield
Deportivo Nacional vs Real Rincon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Nacional 85 / 100
Real Rincon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Nacional Real Rincon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Nacional scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Real Rincon has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Deportivo Nacional remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Nacional VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Nacional

(Home)
13 Jun
Deportivo Nacional
2 : 1
Caiquetio
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
17 May
Deportivo Nacional
4 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
Page 1 of 7

Real Rincon

(Away)
28 Jul
Academia Quintana
3 : 0
Real Rincon
26 Jul
Real Rincon
1 : 1
La Clery
28 Jul
Real Rincon
1 : 2
Grenades
19 Apr
Real Rincon
1 : 3
SWA Sharks
18 Apr
Real Rincon
0 : 5
Jong Holland
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Inter Moengotapoe4
Deportivo Nacional0
Franciscain2
Real Rincon0
Final
Inter Moengotapoe1
Franciscain2
Deportivo Nacional1
Real Rincon3