Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Rincon vs Guillermo Brown

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros, Rincon de Los Sauces
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Cruz F.
42' Event
Avila C.
62'
Sub
Rossi J. In: Frutos S.
Out: Rossi J.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Rincon in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Rincon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Deportivo Rincon
35%
Draws
32%
Guillermo Brown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Rincon lately — more wins on the board than Guillermo Brown.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guillermo Brown have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 20%
Guillermo Brown Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Rincon Guillermo Brown
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Guillermo Brown
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
Guillermo Brown vs Deportivo Rincon
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs Guillermo Brown
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Rincon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avila C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guillermo Brown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Rincon 31 / 100
Guillermo Brown 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Rincon Guillermo Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Guillermo Brown let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Deportivo Rincon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Rincon found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Rincon VS Guillermo Brown
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Rincon

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0
Juventud U.U.
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Guillermo Brown

(Away)
20 Sept
Guillermo Brown
0 : 0
Fundacion Amigos
13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0
Guillermo Brown
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1
San Martin Mendoza
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)