Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportivo Rincon vs San Martin Mendoza

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros, Rincon de Los Sauces
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Bernabe N.
21'
Avila C.
48'
Ferro A.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Deportivo Rincon and San Martin Mendoza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Rincon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportivo Rincon
35%
Draws
28%
San Martin Mendoza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Rincon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Rincon San Martin Mendoza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon
1:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs San Martin Mendoza
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs San Martin Mendoza
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Rincon 41 / 100
San Martin Mendoza 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Rincon San Martin Mendoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Rincon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Rincon scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Deportivo Rincon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

San Martin Mendoza let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Rincon VS San Martin Mendoza
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Rincon

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 0
Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 6

San Martin Mendoza

(Away)
20 Sept
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1
San Martin Mendoza
29 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2
Fundacion Amigos
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)