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Deportivo Santani vs Martin Ledesma

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Santani play Martin Ledesma in the Division Intermedia 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Deportivo Santani averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Martin Ledesma averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Deportivo Santani won 1, Martin Ledesma won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 23, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Deportivo Santani and 1.06 for Martin Ledesma. This points to a Deportivo Santani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Deportivo Santani
35%
Draws
28%
Martin Ledesma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Santani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Santani picked up more points recently compared to Martin Ledesma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Deportivo Santani Clean Sheet 22%
Martin Ledesma Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Santani Martin Ledesma
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2024 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs Deportivo Santani
0:0
Jun 16, 2024 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Martin Ledesma
1:1
Aug 20, 2023 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Martin Ledesma
0:0
May 14, 2023 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs Deportivo Santani
1:0
Aug 12, 2022 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs Deportivo Santani
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Santani Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Martin Ledesma Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaparro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Santani 38 / 100
Martin Ledesma 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Santani Martin Ledesma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Santani or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Deportivo Santani attacking → ← attacking Martin Ledesma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Santani scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Martin Ledesma let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Deportivo Santani went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Martin Ledesma lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 36
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Recoleta30198357:2065
2Atletico Tembetary30195646:2462
3Sportivo Carapegua30177645:2758
4San Lorenzo301210835:3146
5Resistencia301361135:3545
6Encarnacion FC301281043:3944
7Deportivo Santani301191035:3342
8Rubio Nu301191033:3542
9Guairena FC301011930:2538
1012 de Junio301081235:3538
11Independiente FBC301081233:3738
12Martin Ledesma308121028:3536
13Fernando de la Mora308111131:3335
143 de Febrero306111324:3729
15Pastoreo30651928:5023
16Colegiales30242428:7010