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Derby Academie vs Diarra

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Derby Academie
44%
Draws
20%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Diarra have won more games recently than Derby Academie.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 24%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Diarra
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 14 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Derby Academie
1:4
Jan 2, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Diarra
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 37 / 100
Diarra 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Diarra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Diarra's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Derby Academie's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Diarra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS Diarra
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316