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Derby Academie vs Djoliba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Djoliba in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djoliba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Derby Academie
6%
Draws
90%
Djoliba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Djoliba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Djoliba have won more games recently than Derby Academie.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Djoliba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 14%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Djoliba
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 21
Draws 14 6
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Djoliba
0:2
Dec 17, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Derby Academie
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 10 / 100
Djoliba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Djoliba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DJO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Derby Academie's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Djoliba has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Derby Academie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS Djoliba
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316