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Derby Academie vs Onze Createurs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Derby Academie
30%
Draws
47%
Onze Createurs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Onze Createurs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Onze Createurs have won more games recently than Derby Academie.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 68%
Onze Createurs Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Onze Createurs
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 14 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Onze Createurs
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Derby Academie
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 42 / 100
Onze Createurs 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Onze Createurs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Onze Createurs conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Derby Academie found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (26 games).

Derby Academie has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS Onze Createurs
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby Academie

(Home)
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
25 May
Real Bamako
1 : 0
Derby Academie
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Onze Createurs

(Away)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)