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Derby Academie vs Onze Createurs

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie play Onze Createurs in the Premiere Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derby Academie averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Onze Createurs averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Derby Academie won 1, Onze Createurs won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 19, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Derby Academie and 0.81 for Onze Createurs. This points to a Derby Academie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Derby Academie
35%
Draws
28%
Onze Createurs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derby Academie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Derby Academie picked up more points recently compared to Onze Createurs.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 26%
Onze Createurs Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 43%
Second Half Goal 46%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Onze Createurs
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 14 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Onze Createurs
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Derby Academie
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 39 / 100
Onze Createurs 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Onze Createurs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Derby Academie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Derby Academie attacking → ← attacking Onze Createurs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

Onze Createurs let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Derby Academie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Onze Createurs lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 31
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316