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Derby City Rovers vs TFC Academy

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2016
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2016 game between Derby City Rovers and TFC Academy finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby City Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Derby City Rovers
6%
Draws
90%
TFC Academy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TFC Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TFC Academy come out ahead of Derby City Rovers on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on TFC Academy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Derby City Rovers Clean Sheet 14%
TFC Academy Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby City Rovers TFC Academy
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 28 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Derby City Rovers
1:1
Jun 6, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Derby City Rovers
1:1
May 27, 2016 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs TFC Academy
3:0
Jun 27, 2015 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Derby City Rovers
3:0
Jun 19, 2015 USL League Two
Derby City Rovers vs TFC Academy
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby City Rovers 10 / 100
TFC Academy 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby City Rovers TFC Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TFC Academy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

TFC Academy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Derby City Rovers's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derby City Rovers VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby City Rovers

(Home)
13 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 6
Lansing United
10 Jul
Derby City Rovers
1 : 14
Flint City
07 Jul
Lansing United
3 : 0
Derby City Rovers
01 Jul
Derby City Rovers
2 : 5
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Derby City Rovers
0 : 6
Dayton
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TFC Academy

(Away)
15 Jul
TFC Academy
4 : 1
Dayton
12 Jul
TFC Academy
0 : 3
Flint City
06 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
3 : 1
TFC Academy
26 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
2 : 0
TFC Academy
25 Jun
Dayton
2 : 2
TFC Academy
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