Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Ball L.
54'
54'
Clanford C.
Assist: Lister H.
66'
66'
Cryer T.
Assist: Walls A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Derby U18 and Blackburn U18 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blackburn U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blackburn U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Blackburn U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Derby U18 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Blackburn U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Blackburn U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Blackburn U18
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League U18
Blackburn U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Blackburn U18
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League U18
Blackburn U18 vs Derby U18
0:6
Mar 9, 2024 Premier League U18
Blackburn U18 vs Derby U18
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Blake Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34
Blackburn U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ball L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Clanford C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 47 / 100
Blackburn U18 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Blackburn U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derby U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Blackburn U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Derby U18 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS Blackburn U18
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
18 Apr
Derby U18
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd U18
Page 1 of 3
Blackburn U18
(Away) 05 Sept
Blackburn U18
2 : 1 Everton U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1 Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8 Nottingham U18
15 Aug
Wolves U18
0 : 2 Blackburn U18
18 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 4 Blackburn U18
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1 Blackburn U18
15 Aug
Wolves U18
0 : 2 Blackburn U18
18 Jul
Longridge Town
0 : 4 Blackburn U18
09 May
Nottingham U18
2 : 1 Blackburn U18
18 Apr
Middlesbrough U18
9 : 0 Blackburn U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
