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Derby U18 vs Cardiff U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Aug 2, 2025
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby U18 host Cardiff U18 in the Club Friendly 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Cardiff U18 have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Derby U18 have conceded 2.4 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Derby U18 have won 0 to Cardiff U18's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.94, favoring Derby U18. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Derby U18
15%
Draws
26%
Cardiff U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derby U18 lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff U18.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U18 Cardiff U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Derby U18 vs Cardiff U18
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U18 34 / 100
Cardiff U18 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U18 Cardiff U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby U18 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Cardiff U18 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Derby U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Cardiff U18 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby U18 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3
Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
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Cardiff U18

(Away)
19 Jul
Cardiff U18
2 : 4
Shrewsbury U18
12 Jul
Cardiff U18
7 : 2
Exeter U18
17 Jan
Cardiff U18
1 : 2
Bristol City U18
10 Jan
Oxford Utd U18
3 : 1
Cardiff U18
31 Mar
West Brom U18
2 : 1
Cardiff U18
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