Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Harvey R.
16'
16'
Cisse P. K.
Own Goal
35'
35'
Forrester L.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Derby U18 and Liverpool U18 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Liverpool U18's 2.63 goals per match outpaces what Derby U18 have produced (1.83).
- Win probability leans Liverpool U18's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Liverpool U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Liverpool U18
3:3
May 8, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Liverpool U18
4:3
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League U18
Liverpool U18 vs Derby U18
4:2
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League U18
Liverpool U18 vs Derby U18
1:4
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Liverpool U18
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Harvey R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ward J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Liverpool U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Forrester L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Upton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 26 / 100
Liverpool U18 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Liverpool U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Liverpool U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Liverpool U18 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Derby U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS Liverpool U18
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 3
Liverpool U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2 Burnley U18
29 Aug
Wolves U18
2 : 4 Liverpool U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Manchester City U18
2 : 1 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
29 Aug
Wolves U18
2 : 4 Liverpool U18
15 Aug
Manchester City U18
2 : 1 Liverpool U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
29 Apr
Manchester United U18
4 : 1 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
