Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Derby U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Derby U18 have won more games recently than Sheffield Utd U18.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Derby U18 taking it.
- Derby U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd U18, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Sheffield Utd U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Sheffield Utd U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2025 FA Youth Cup
Sheffield Utd U18 vs Derby U18
1:3
Jan 15, 2019 FA Youth Cup
Derby U18 vs Sheffield Utd U18
3:0
Feb 18, 2012 Premier League U18
Sheffield Utd U18 vs Derby U18
3:1
Oct 1, 2011 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Sheffield Utd U18
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 34 / 100
Sheffield Utd U18 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Sheffield Utd U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Derby U18 scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Sheffield Utd U18 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Derby U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
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19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
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Sheffield Utd U18
(Away) 22 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
07 Feb
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 2 Leeds U18
10 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon U18
14 Jan
Everton U18
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd U18
30 Apr
Ipswich U18
3 : 2 Sheffield Utd U18
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14 Jan
Everton U18
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd U18
30 Apr
Ipswich U18
3 : 2 Sheffield Utd U18
03 Apr
Peterborough U18
0 : 2 Sheffield Utd U18
15 Jan
Derby U18
3 : 0 Sheffield Utd U18
16 Jan
Birmingham U18
1 : 0 Sheffield Utd U18
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Oxford Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 3
Aston Villa U18 4
Reading U18 1
Derby U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Nottingham U18 1
Arsenal U18 5
Tottenham U18 2
West Brom U18 5
QPR U18 1
Stoke City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Brighton U18 3
Preston U18 3
Norwich U18 0
Peterborough U18 0
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 4
Accrington U18 0
Hull U18 2
Wigan U18 6
Crystal Palace U18 2
Bolton U18 4
Leicester U18 4
Crewe U18 0
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
1/8-finals
Bournemouth U18 2
Aston Villa U18 0
Derby U18 1
Manchester City U18 2
Arsenal U18 1
West Brom U18 2
Everton U18 2
Brighton U18 0
Preston U18 0
Bury U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Wigan U18 0
Bolton U18 0
Leicester U18 3
Watford U18 4
Ipswich U18 1
Quarter-finals
Bournemouth U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 4
Everton U18 3
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 5
Leicester U18 1
Watford U18 2
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Watford U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 1
Liverpool U18 2
