Sport Picks

England

Premier League 2 The Proctor Cars Stadium, Matlock

Derby U21

0 - 3

Norwich U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Tola M.

22'

Eames O.

Own Goal

24'

Gough B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Norwich U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norwich U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Derby U21

39%

Draws

31%

Norwich U21

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Norwich U21 have won more games recently than Derby U21.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Norwich U21 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derby U21	Norwich U21
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	6	9
Draws	9	8
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.5	2
Goals Conceded	1.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2025 Premier League 2

Derby U21 vs Norwich U21

0:3

Feb 13, 2023 Premier League 2

Derby U21 vs Norwich U21

0:3

Sep 30, 2022 Premier League 2

Norwich U21 vs Derby U21

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Norwich U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboh K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Welch F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U21 29 / 100

Norwich U21 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derby U21 Norwich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norwich U21 has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Derby U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Derby U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby U21 VS Norwich U21

1.5 Goals Scored 2

1.75 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U21

(Home)

27 Apr

Brentford U21

2 : 0

Derby U21

13 Apr

Reading U21

4 : 1

Derby U21

06 Apr

Derby U21

2 : 1

Sunderland U21

03 Apr

Derby U21

1 : 0

Manchester City U21

20 Mar

Derby U21

1 : 0

Middlesbrough U21

Page 1 of 6

Norwich U21

(Away)

18 Jul

Hornchurch

1 : 1

Norwich U21

15 May

Norwich U21

2 : 4

Huddersfield U21

11 May

Nottingham U21

1 : 2

Norwich U21

02 May

Norwich U21

1 : 0

Swansea U21

27 Apr

Sheffield Utd U21

1 : 3

Norwich U21

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chelsea U21	20	14	1	5	52:25	43
2	Manchester United U21	20	13	4	3	43:26	43
3	Manchester City U21	20	13	1	6	59:21	40
4	Fulham U21	20	11	5	4	48:32	38
5	Ipswich U21	20	12	2	6	45:45	38
6	Southampton U21	20	10	6	4	36:29	36
7	Liverpool U21	20	11	2	7	49:36	35
8	Tottenham U21	20	11	2	7	42:32	35
9	Leicester U21	20	9	4	7	48:42	31
10	Crystal Palace U21	20	9	4	7	36:31	31
11	Aston Villa U21	20	9	4	7	32:35	31
12	Brighton U21	20	8	6	6	38:25	30
13	West Ham U21	20	8	6	6	44:35	30
14	Arsenal U21	20	8	5	7	28:33	29
15	Sunderland U21	20	8	4	8	41:40	28
16	Middlesbrough U21	20	7	6	7	37:28	27
17	Nottingham U21	20	8	2	10	23:23	26
18	Everton U21	20	7	4	9	33:36	25
19	Reading U21	20	7	4	9	29:36	25
20	Stoke City U21	20	7	4	9	29:42	25
21	Newcastle Utd U21	20	6	6	8	30:35	24
22	Wolves U21	20	6	5	9	30:45	23
23	Norwich U21	20	5	5	10	32:42	20
24	Derby U21	20	5	5	10	26:44	20
25	Leeds U21	20	5	3	12	28:40	18
26	West Brom U21	20	5	3	12	26:41	18
27	Birmingham U21	20	4	5	11	26:52	17
28	Blackburn U21	20	4	2	14	27:46	14
29	Burnley U21	20	3	4	13	22:42	13

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