Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026

Derby U21

1 - 2

Sheffield Utd U21

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Francis M.

Assist: Sachdev S.

50'

Wilson C.

Assist: Richards J.

77'

Francis M.

Assist: Aston S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Sheffield Utd U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Derby U21

20%

Draws

40%

Sheffield Utd U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sheffield Utd U21 come out ahead of Derby U21 on wins alone.
Model gives Sheffield Utd U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
Sheffield Utd U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%

Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Sheffield Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derby U21	Sheffield Utd U21
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	8	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.7	1.79
Goals Conceded	2.33	1.46
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Premier League Cup

Derby U21 vs Sheffield Utd U21

1:2

Sep 12, 2025 Premier League Cup

Sheffield Utd U21 vs Derby U21

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Sheffield Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Francis M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U21 18 / 100

Sheffield Utd U21 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derby U21 Sheffield Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Utd U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sheffield Utd U21 conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Derby U21 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Derby U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby U21 VS Sheffield Utd U21

1.63 Goals Scored 1.38

3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U21

(Home)

18 Sept

Burnley U21

4 : 1

Derby U21

11 Sept

Derby U21

1 : 3

Tottenham U21

08 Sept

Gateshead

1 : 3

Derby U21

31 Aug

Derby U21

4 : 4

West Brom U21

24 Aug

Reading U21

1 : 3

Derby U21

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Sheffield Utd U21

(Away)

14 Sept

Sheffield Utd U21

1 : 1

Cardiff U21

01 Sept

Bristol City U21

3 : 1

Sheffield Utd U21

25 Aug

Sheffield Utd U21

3 : 1

West Ham U21

17 Aug

Swansea U21

0 : 2

Sheffield Utd U21

27 Apr

Sheffield Utd U21

1 : 3

Norwich U21

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