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Derby U23 vs Manchester United U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Derby U23 Logo

Derby U23

1 - 1
FT
Manchester United U23 Logo

Manchester United U23

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Carreras A.
45'
Sibley L.
46'
Sub
Aghatise O. In: Robinson D.
Out: Aghatise O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Derby U23
15%
Draws
85%
Manchester United U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester United U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchester United U23 have won more games recently than Derby U23.
  • Model gives Manchester United U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester United U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U23 Manchester United U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.72 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2022 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Derby U23
5:2
Nov 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Manchester United U23
1:1
May 10, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Derby U23
1:3
May 3, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Manchester United U23
2:6
Dec 20, 2018 Premier League International Cup
Derby U23 vs Manchester United U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cybulski B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Manchester United U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer McNeill C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U23 10 / 100
Manchester United U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U23 Manchester United U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester United U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manchester United U23 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Derby U23 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Manchester United U23's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby U23 VS Manchester United U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U23

(Home)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
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Manchester United U23

(Away)
01 May
Liverpool U23
3 : 1
Manchester United U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0
Everton U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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