Sport Picks

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Derby U23 vs West Brom U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aghatise O.
36' Event
Andrews J.
44' Event
Malcolm J.

AI Match Summary

West Brom U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Derby U23
15%
Draws
85%
West Brom U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Brom U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • West Brom U23 have won more games recently than Derby U23.
  • Model gives West Brom U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • West Brom U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Brom U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
West Brom U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U23 West Brom U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Premier League Cup
Derby U23 vs West Brom U23
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aghatise O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Watson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

West Brom U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashworth Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andrews J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U23 10 / 100
West Brom U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U23 West Brom U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Brom U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Brom U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Derby U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

West Brom U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby U23 VS West Brom U23
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U23

(Home)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
Page 1 of 6

West Brom U23

(Away)
27 Jul
Rushall
2 : 1
West Brom U23
13 May
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Wolves U23
03 May
West Brom U23
2 : 1
Fulham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
West Brom U23
3 : 2
Norwich U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Derby U23 4
Sheffield Utd U23 3
West Brom U23 4
QPR U23 2
West Ham U23 5
Leeds U23 1
Fulham U23 2
Newcastle Utd U23 0
Peterborough U23 6
Charlton U23 2
Wigan U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Huddersfield U23 1
Stoke City U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Arsenal U23 1
Quarter-finals
Derby U23 3
West Brom U23 4
West Ham U23 0
Fulham U23 1
Peterborough U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Stoke City U23 1
Middlesbrough U23 2
Semi-finals
West Brom U23 2
Fulham U23 1
Wolves U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Final
West Brom U23 3
Wolves U23 2