Sport Picks
Derby W vs Loughborough Lightning W
England
Women's National League North 2022/2023 
Match Events
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AI Match Summary
Derby W host Loughborough Lightning W in the Women's National League North 2022/2023. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Loughborough Lightning W have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Derby W have conceded 2.88 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Derby W have won 4 to Loughborough Lightning W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.75) point toward Derby W. Derby W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Derby W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Loughborough Lightning W.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Loughborough Lightning W.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Women's National League North 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby W | Loughborough Lightning W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 34 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.88 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.88 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby W scored in 71% of their last 38 games.
Loughborough Lightning W let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Derby W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Loughborough Lightning W lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham W | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 81:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton W | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 61:17 | 54 |
| 3 | Burnley W | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 66:28 | 52 |
| 4 | Derby W | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 50:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brighouse Town W | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:27 | 31 |
| 6 | Huddersfield W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 36:43 | 26 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:54 | 26 |
| 8 | West Brom W | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28:46 | 25 |
| 9 | Liverpool Feds W | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Stoke City LFC W | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32:49 | 24 |
| 11 | Boldmere St Michaels W | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 27:61 | 16 |
| 12 | Loughborough Lightning W | 22 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10:59 | 3 |