Sport Picks
Derby W vs Loughborough Lightning W
England
Women's National League North 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Derby W in this Women's National League North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Derby W lately — more wins on the board than Loughborough Lightning W.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Women's National League North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Derby W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Derby W Clean Sheet 13%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby W | Loughborough Lightning W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Derby W
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Loughborough Lightning W
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Women’s FA Cup
Derby W vs Loughborough Lightning W
4:1
Jan 15, 2023 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Derby W
1:2
Aug 31, 2022 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Loughborough Lightning W
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby W 30 / 100
Loughborough Lightning W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby W Loughborough Lightning W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Derby W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Loughborough Lightning W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Derby W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Derby W VS Loughborough Lightning W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby W
(Home) 20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3 Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1 Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0 Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1 Rugby Borough W
16 Aug
Liverpool Feds W
5 : 1 Derby W
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0 Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1 Rugby Borough W
26 Apr
Derby W
1 : 1 Liverpool Feds W
29 Mar
Derby W
3 : 0 Hull City W
22 Mar
Derby W
0 : 3 Burnley W
Page 1 of 4
Loughborough Lightning W
(Away) 20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1 Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3 Loughborough Lightning W
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0 Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Huddersfield W
5 : 1 Loughborough Lightning W
16 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3 Hull City W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1 Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3 Loughborough Lightning W
23 Aug
Huddersfield W
5 : 1 Loughborough Lightning W
12 Apr
Halifax W
1 : 1 Loughborough Lightning W
08 Mar
Middlesbrough W
3 : 1 Loughborough Lightning W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham W | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 81:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton W | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 61:17 | 54 |
| 3 | Burnley W | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 66:28 | 52 |
| 4 | Derby W | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 50:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Brighouse Town W | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:27 | 31 |
| 6 | Huddersfield W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 36:43 | 26 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:54 | 26 |
| 8 | West Brom W | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28:46 | 25 |
| 9 | Liverpool Feds W | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Stoke City LFC W | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32:49 | 24 |
| 11 | Boldmere St Michaels W | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 27:61 | 16 |
| 12 | Loughborough Lightning W | 22 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10:59 | 3 |
Promotion - Women's National League (Main)
