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Derby W vs Middlesbrough W

England England

Women's National League North
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North game between Derby W and Middlesbrough W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Derby W
20%
Draws
40%
Middlesbrough W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Middlesbrough W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Derby W Clean Sheet 15%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Middlesbrough W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.26 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
0:4
Aug 31, 2025 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Derby W
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Derby W
0:2
Sep 26, 2021 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 30 / 100
Middlesbrough W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Middlesbrough W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Middlesbrough W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Middlesbrough W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Middlesbrough W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
16 Aug
Liverpool Feds W
5 : 1
Derby W
26 Apr
Derby W
1 : 1
Liverpool Feds W
Page 1 of 7

Middlesbrough W

(Away)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
West Brom W
16 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
26 Apr
Middlesbrough W
0 : 0
West Brom W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 4 4 0 0 9:0 12
2 Huddersfield W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
3 Stoke City LFC W 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
4 Liverpool Feds W 4 2 0 2 13:8 6
5 West Brom W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
6 Loughborough Lightning W 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
7 Norwich W 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
8 Boldmere St Michaels W 4 1 1 2 6:11 4
9 Middlesbrough W 4 1 0 3 1:4 3
10 Derby W 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
11 Peterborough W 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
12 Hull City W 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
Promotion - Women's National League Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)