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Derby W vs Middlesbrough W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Women's National League North
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North game between Derby W and Middlesbrough W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Derby W
15%
Draws
37%
Middlesbrough W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Derby W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Derby W Clean Sheet 20%
Middlesbrough W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Middlesbrough W
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.49 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
0:4
Aug 31, 2025 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Derby W
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Women's National League North
Middlesbrough W vs Derby W
0:2
Sep 26, 2021 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Middlesbrough W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 31 / 100
Middlesbrough W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Middlesbrough W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby W found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Middlesbrough W conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Derby W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Middlesbrough W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
28 Oct
Derby W
0 : 1
Stoke City LFC W
25 Oct
Sutton Coldfield Town W
1 : 2
Derby W
18 Oct
Boldmere St Michaels W
2 : 3
Derby W
11 Oct
Derby W
2 : 1
Hull City W
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
Page 1 of 7

Middlesbrough W

(Away)
01 Nov
Huddersfield W
1 : 2
Middlesbrough W
28 Oct
Middlesbrough W
1 : 0
Hull City W
18 Oct
Huddersfield W
3 : 1
Middlesbrough W
11 Oct
Middlesbrough W
1 : 1
Norwich W
04 Oct
Middlesbrough W
0 : 1
Peterborough W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 9 7 1 1 20:2 22
2 West Brom W 9 7 0 2 19:8 21
3 Huddersfield W 9 5 3 1 22:13 18
4 Stoke City LFC W 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
5 Liverpool Feds W 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
6 Peterborough W 9 4 1 4 12:19 13
7 Derby W 9 4 0 5 11:15 12
8 Norwich W 9 2 5 2 11:11 11
9 Loughborough Lightning W 9 2 2 5 11:19 8
10 Middlesbrough W 9 2 1 6 4:10 7
11 Boldmere St Michaels W 9 1 3 5 12:25 6
12 Hull City W 9 1 1 7 7:18 4
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