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Derby W vs Rotherham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Derby W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Derby W
15%
Draws
34%
Rotherham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derby W come out ahead of Rotherham W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Derby W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Derby W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Derby W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Derby W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Derby W Clean Sheet 15%
Rotherham W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Rotherham W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.34 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.66 3.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2011 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Rotherham W
2:2
Aug 28, 2011 Women's National League North
Rotherham W vs Derby W
1:3
Jan 9, 2011 Women’s FA Cup
Derby W vs Rotherham W
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 84 / 100
Rotherham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Rotherham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotherham W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Derby W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: Rotherham W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
Page 1 of 7

Rotherham W

(Away)
12 Nov
Rotherham W
0 : 5
Worcester W
14 Dec
Chorley W
5 : 2
Rotherham W
15 Apr
Rotherham W
2 : 2
West Brom W
18 Mar
Rotherham W
6 : 4
Rochdale W
26 Feb
Rochdale W
2 : 1
Rotherham W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Leeds City Vixens LFC W 0
London Bees W 1
Enfield Town W 4
Mossley Hill W 2
West Ham W 4
Colchester W 2
Derby W 0
Sunderland W 1
TBD -
Notts County W -
Everton W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Liverpool W -
TBD -
Reading W 2
Charlton W 3
Chelsea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Doncaster W -
Blackburn W 0
London City Lionesses W 3
Nottingham W 3
Watford W 4
Rochdale W 1
Sheffield Wed W 3
TBD -
Bristol City W -
1/8-finals
Birmingham W 1
London Bees W 2
Enfield Town W 0
West Ham W 1
Sunderland W 1
Notts County W 0
Everton W 0
Arsenal W 2
Liverpool W 5
Charlton W 0
Chelsea W 0
Doncaster W 1
London City Lionesses W 5
Watford W 0
Sheffield Wed W 0
Bristol City W 8
Quarter-finals
London Bees W 3
West Ham W 2
Sunderland W 2
Arsenal W 3
Liverpool W 3
Doncaster W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Bristol City W 2
Semi-finals
London Bees W 0
Arsenal W 5
Liverpool W 0
Bristol City W 3
Final
Arsenal W 2
Bristol City W 0