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Derby W vs Rugby Borough W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Women's National League North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North game between Derby W and Rugby Borough W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rugby Borough W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Derby W
15%
Draws
57%
Rugby Borough W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rugby Borough W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Rugby Borough W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Rugby Borough W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rugby Borough W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Derby W Clean Sheet 16%
Rugby Borough W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Rugby Borough W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Rugby Borough W
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Rugby Borough W
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Derby W
6:0
Feb 23, 2025 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Rugby Borough W
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Derby W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 19 / 100
Rugby Borough W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Rugby Borough W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugby Borough W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Derby W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rugby Borough W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Derby W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Rugby Borough W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
Page 1 of 6

Rugby Borough W

(Away)
04 Oct
Rugby Borough W
3 : 0
Liverpool Feds W
20 Sept
West Brom W
1 : 0
Rugby Borough W
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
30 Aug
Rugby Borough W
1 : 0
Norwich W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 6 5 0 1 12:1 15
2 Huddersfield W 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
3 West Brom W 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Stoke City LFC W 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
5 Liverpool Feds W 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
6 Norwich W 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Loughborough Lightning W 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
8 Boldmere St Michaels W 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
9 Derby W 6 2 0 4 6:11 6
10 Peterborough W 6 2 0 4 7:16 6
11 Hull City W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
12 Middlesbrough W 6 1 0 5 1:6 3
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