Sport Picks

Derby W vs Sunderland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Women’s FA Cup 2025/2026 Don Amott Arena, Derby

Derby W

1 - 5

Sunderland W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Sunderland W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Derby W

15%

Draws

53%

Sunderland W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Derby W have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Sunderland W are scoring more at 1.37.
Model gives Sunderland W a 53% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Sunderland W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Sunderland W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Derby W Clean Sheet 19%

Sunderland W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derby W	Sunderland W
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	4	6
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.17	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.66	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Women’s FA Cup

Derby W vs Sunderland W

1:5

Dec 13, 2020 Women's National League North

Sunderland W vs Derby W

5:4

Nov 18, 2018 Women's National League North

Sunderland W vs Derby W

5:2

Sep 30, 2018 Women's National League North

Derby W vs Sunderland W

1:0

Mar 6, 2011 Women’s FA Cup

Derby W vs Sunderland W

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 24 / 100

Sunderland W 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derby W Sunderland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Derby W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Derby W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Sunderland W

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)

04 Oct

Derby W

0 : 3

West Brom W

20 Sept

Peterborough W

0 : 3

Derby W

13 Sept

Huddersfield W

2 : 1

Derby W

30 Aug

Derby W

1 : 0

Middlesbrough W

23 Aug

Derby W

0 : 1

Rugby Borough W

Page 1 of 6

Sunderland W

(Away)

04 Oct

Sunderland W

3 : 1

Leicester W

27 Sept

Watford W

1 : 2

Sunderland W

23 Sept

Liverpool W

4 : 2

Sunderland W

20 Sept

Sunderland W

0 : 0

Southampton FC W

13 Sept

Burnley W

1 : 2

Sunderland W

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Hashtag W 1

Oxford Utd W 2

Luton W 3

Mansfield W 0

Plymouth W 7

Maidstone W 0

Winchester City W 0

Gwalia United W 4

Middlesbrough W 4

Cheadle Town W 0

Northampton W 3

Sudbury W 2

South Shields W 0

AFC Fylde W 5

Kidderminster W 1

Redditch Borough FC W 0

Charlton W -

TBD -

Actonians W 0

Watford W 5

Saltdean United W 1

Bromley W 0

Leafield Athletic W 8

Crusaders W 0

Port Vale W 1

Worcester W 2

Oxford City W 4

Sherborne Town W 2

Swindon W 1

Dulwich Hamlet W 0

Dartford W 5

Forest Green W 1

Keynsham Town W 1

Bournemouth Sports W 0

London Bees W 5

Barking W 3

Portishead Town W 1

Billericay W 0

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Huddersfield W 4

Wythenshawe FC W 2

Leeds W 5

St Helens W 1

Solihull Moors W 0

West Brom W 3

Nottingham University W 1

Cambridge Utd W 2

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 3

International Soccer Academy W 2

Durham Cestria W 6

Dronfield Town W 1

Lincoln Utd. W 1

Stourbridge W 3

Halifax W 1

Hull City W 4

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Sporting Khalsa W 2

Loughborough Lightning W 1

Hednesford W 2

SJR Worksop W 1

Bowers & Pitsea W 3

Wimborne W 2

Brentford W 1

Sutton W 2

Torquay W 0

Exeter W 6

AFC Wimbledon W 3

Chatham W 4

Bolton W 1

Ponteland United W 2

Penrith W 2

Altrincham W 3

York City W 1

Leeds Modernians W 0

Wroxham W 3

Lye Town W 0

Farnham W 0

Leyton Orient W 8

Millbrook W 0

Bournemouth W 11

Haringey Borough W 0

Bristol Rovers W 3

Fulham W 5

South London W 0

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 6

Gloucester City W 2

Worthing FC W 4

Abingdon W 1

TBD -

Ipswich W -

Durham W -

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Millwall W 0

Cheltenham W 2

Lewes W 4

Corsham Town W 0

TBD -

Crystal Palace W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 12

Blackburn W 0

Stevenage W 3

Norwich W 4

Peterborough W 4

Real Bedford W 1

Manchester Laces W 1

Wallsend W 3

Coventry Sphinx W 0

Derby W 6

Stockport W 3

Tranmere W 0

TBD -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Wycombe W 1

Bridgwater United W 2

Royston Town W 1

Coundon Court W 0

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Portsmouth W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 4

Chester-Le-Street Town W 0

Crewe W 1

Boldmere St Michaels W 2

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 2

Rugby Borough W 1

Stoke City LFC W 7

Sutton Coldfield Town W 0

TBD -

Nottingham W -

1/64-finals

Oxford Utd W 3

Luton W 1

Plymouth W 2

Gwalia United W 0

Middlesbrough W 3

Northampton W 0

AFC Fylde W 4

Kidderminster W 0

Charlton W -

TBD -

Watford W 4

Saltdean United W 0

Leafield Athletic W 2

Worcester W 1

Oxford City W 0

Swindon W 3

Dartford W 2

Keynsham Town W 1

London Bees W 5

Portishead Town W 0

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Huddersfield W 1

Leeds W 3

West Brom W 2

Cambridge Utd W 0

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 2

Durham Cestria W 1

Stourbridge W 1

Hull City W 7

Birmingham W -

TBD -

Sporting Khalsa W 2

Hednesford W 0

Bowers & Pitsea W 2

Sutton W 3

Exeter W 2

Chatham W 3

Ponteland United W 0

Altrincham W 1

York City W 3

Wroxham W 1

Leyton Orient W 1

Bournemouth W 7

Bristol Rovers W 1

Fulham W 3

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 4

Worthing FC W 1

TBD -

Ipswich W -

Durham W -

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Cheltenham W 0

Lewes W 4

TBD -

Crystal Palace W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 4

Norwich W 0

Peterborough W 4

Wallsend W 0

Derby W 4

Stockport W 1

TBD -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W -

TBD -

Bridgwater United W 1

Royston Town W 2

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Portsmouth W -

Newcastle Utd W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 5

Boldmere St Michaels W 0

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 2

Stoke City LFC W 0

TBD -

Nottingham W -

1/32-finals

Oxford Utd W 2

Plymouth W 1

Middlesbrough W 3

AFC Fylde W 0

Charlton W 3

Watford W 2

Leafield Athletic W 2

Swindon W 3

Dartford W 2

London Bees W 3

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Leeds W 0

West Brom W 3

TBD -

Everton W -

Mancunian Unity W 1

Hull City W 2

Birmingham W 6

Sporting Khalsa W 0

Sutton W 0

Chatham W 3

Altrincham W 0

York City W 3

Bournemouth W 5

Fulham W 0

TBD -

Manchester City W -

Portchester W 0

Ipswich W 5

Durham W 0

Sheffield Utd W 1

Chelsea W -

TBD -

Lewes W 0

Crystal Palace W 1

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Burnley W 7

Peterborough W 0

Derby W 1

Sunderland W 5

TBD -

London City Lionesses W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Leicester W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Aston Villa W -

Southampton FC W 10

Royston Town W 0

Bristol City W 2

Portsmouth W 0

Newcastle Utd W 4

Liverpool Feds W 0

TBD -

West Ham W -

Brighton W -

TBD -

Wolverhampton W 1

Nottingham W 2

1/16-finals

Oxford Utd W 3

Middlesbrough W 1

Charlton W 10

Swindon W 0

London Bees W 0

Liverpool W 6

West Brom W 0

Everton W 5

Hull City W 2

Birmingham W 6

Chatham W 3

York City W 0

Bournemouth W 0

Manchester City W 6

Ipswich W 1

Sheffield Utd W 2

Chelsea W 5

Crystal Palace W 0

Manchester United W 5

Burnley W 0

Sunderland W 0

London City Lionesses W 1

Tottenham W 3

Leicester W 0

Arsenal W 2

Aston Villa W 0

Southampton FC W 1

Bristol City W 2

Newcastle Utd W 0

West Ham W 3

Brighton W 2

Nottingham W 0

1/8-finals

Oxford Utd W 0

Charlton W 1

Liverpool W 2

Everton W 1

Birmingham W 8

Chatham W 0

Manchester City W 4

Sheffield Utd W 0

Chelsea W 2

Manchester United W 1

London City Lionesses W 2

Tottenham W 3

Arsenal W 3

Bristol City W 0

West Ham W 1

Brighton W 2

Quarter-finals

Charlton W 0

Liverpool W 1

Arsenal W 0

Brighton W 2

Chelsea W 2

Tottenham W 1

Birmingham W 0

Manchester City W 1

Semi-finals

Liverpool W 2

Brighton W 3

Chelsea W 2

Manchester City W 3

Final

Brighton W 0

Manchester City W 4

Derby W vs Sunderland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Derby W

Sunderland W

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

Sunderland W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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